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Salehi, M., Modaberi, M. (2018). Optimal alert cycle in intelligence- security organizations. Electronic and Cyber Defense, 7(26), 1-26.
Mahmoud Salehi; Mohammad Modaberi. "Optimal alert cycle in intelligence- security organizations". Electronic and Cyber Defense, 7, 26, 2018, 1-26.
Salehi, M., Modaberi, M. (2018). 'Optimal alert cycle in intelligence- security organizations', Electronic and Cyber Defense, 7(26), pp. 1-26.
Salehi, M., Modaberi, M. Optimal alert cycle in intelligence- security organizations. Electronic and Cyber Defense, 2018; 7(26): 1-26.

Optimal alert cycle in intelligence- security organizations

فصلنامه پژوهش های حفاظتی امنیتی
Article 1, Volume 7, Issue 26, August 2019, Pages 1-26    PDF (436.33 K)
Document Type: Original Article
Authors
Mahmoud Salehi1; Mohammad Modaberi2
1Assistant Professor at Imam Bagher (PBUH) University
2Ph.D. student in Management at Allame Tabataba'i University
Receive Date: 10 June 2018,  Revise Date: 27 June 2018,  Accept Date: 11 August 2018 
Abstract
The main purpose of the political systems from establishing and providing
a license to the security institutions is to use these intelligence activities
to protect policy makers from the loss of security or security threats. In this
regard, the main philosophy of the intelligence cycle is to warn against future
anti-security events; on this basis, intelligence defeat is defined as surprise and
unpredictable crisis. The purpose of this study is to explain the 'optimal warning
cycle' in intelligence – security activities and to answer the main question of
“what stages form the optimal warning cycle?”. In order to answer this question,
this study uses library study and the Delphi method in three phases and the
idea of 7 experts in intelligence and security field to reach a theoretical stability
and consensus. As a result, the proposed optimal cycle was formed with
five peripheral stages: need assessment, warning, vigilance and prevention and
a connecting core in the form of assessment and production of 'knowledge'.
Keywords
Alert Cycle; intelligence organization; semiotics; warning; vigilance
References
1. Bell,W. (2003). Foundation of Futures Studies. History,Purposes and Knowledge.  Transaction Publishers.

2. Herman, Michael (1996), Intelligence Power in Peace and War (Cambridge University Press)

3. Holt, Pat M. (1995), Secret Intelligence and Public Policy:

    A Dilemma of Democracy, Washington: CQ Press.

4. Shirfman ,Peter(1996),Intelligence Analysis in an age of Electronic Dissemination, Frank Kass.

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