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Rashidi, A., Dadashtabar Ahmadi, K., Samsami Khodadad, F. (2015). Projection of Muli Stage Cyber Attack Based on Belief Model and Fuzzy Inference. Electronic and Cyber Defense, 3(2), 13-28.
Ali Jabbar Rashidi; Kourosh Dadashtabar Ahmadi; Farid Samsami Khodadad. "Projection of Muli Stage Cyber Attack Based on Belief Model and Fuzzy Inference". Electronic and Cyber Defense, 3, 2, 2015, 13-28.
Rashidi, A., Dadashtabar Ahmadi, K., Samsami Khodadad, F. (2015). 'Projection of Muli Stage Cyber Attack Based on Belief Model and Fuzzy Inference', Electronic and Cyber Defense, 3(2), pp. 13-28.
Rashidi, A., Dadashtabar Ahmadi, K., Samsami Khodadad, F. Projection of Muli Stage Cyber Attack Based on Belief Model and Fuzzy Inference. Electronic and Cyber Defense, 2015; 3(2): 13-28.

Projection of Muli Stage Cyber Attack Based on Belief Model and Fuzzy Inference

پدافند الکترونیکی و سایبری
Article 2, Volume 3, Issue 2, January 2020, Pages 13-28    PDF (1.53 M)
Authors
Ali Jabbar Rashidi1; Kourosh Dadashtabar Ahmadi2; Farid Samsami Khodadad* 3
1Associate Professor, Information Integration Science and Technology Research Center, Malik Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
2PhD student, Information Integration Science and Technology Research Center, Malik Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
3Assistant Professor, New Technologies Engineering Faculty, Amol University of New Technologies, Amol, Iran
Receive Date: 08 December 2014,  Revise Date: 21 June 2023,  Accept Date: 19 September 2018 
Abstract
Determination of plausible future of ungoing cyber attacks enables the security analyst to make the
best defense decisions based on achieved plausibility level. To achive the plausibility level of a
situation, situational estimation and high level information fusion are used. In high level information
fusion, for situation awareness of future and impact assessment of cyber attacks four componnets of
projecting, behaviour, capability, opportunity and intent are used.
Almost all of the models used for projecting multi stage cyber attacks assuming the four
components independent from each other to simplify the implementation. Thus, they ignored the
impact of the components on each other and their combination ability in projecting multi stage cyber
attacks.In this paper, we have presented a scheme based on belif model and fuzzy inference. Finally,
the scheme has been evaluated using valid dataset, high stealth attacks and high impact and low
impact attacks. The simulation results for the defined scenarios show accuracy increasy in projecting
multi-stage cyber attacks.
Keywords
Situationa Awareness; Cyber Attack; Cyber Defense; Belief Model; Fuzzy Inference
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