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مدل بازدارندگی در فضای سایبر مبتنی بر گراف حمله باورهای بیزی با استفاده از ترجیحات مخاطره آفرینی | ||
| پدافند الکترونیکی و سایبری | ||
| مقاله 2، دوره 7، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 25، خرداد 1398، صفحه 25-38 اصل مقاله (1.25 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| علی ملائی1؛ مهرداد کارگری* 2؛ مجید شیخ محمدی2؛ علی اکرمی زاده3 | ||
| 1دانشگاه عالی دفاع ملی | ||
| 2تربیت مدرس | ||
| 3مدعو دانشگاه تهران | ||
| تاریخ دریافت: 16 آذر 1396، تاریخ پذیرش: 21 بهمن 1397 | ||
| چکیده | ||
| امروزه رشد سریع وابستگی زندگی بشری به فضای سایبر توجه بیشتر دشمنان هر جامعه را به تهدیدات در این فضا برانگیخته است. حملات سایبری مختلفی که درگذشته در کشورهایی همچون استونی، گرجستان و جمهوری اسلامی ایران رخ‌داده است این هشدار را خواهد داد که آینده فضای سایبر عاری از هرگونه تهدید و حمله سایبری نخواهد بود. همیشه بازدارندگی یک موضوع بسیار مهم برای همه کشورها بوده است. در این پژوهشِ توسعه‌ای و کاربردی مدل راهبردی بازدارندگی در فضای سایبر مبتنی بر نظریه بازی‌ها ارائه خواهد شد. نظریه بازی‌ها در مدل‌سازی و تحلیل سازوکار بازدارندگی در فضای سایبر ما را یاری خواهد کرد و استنتاج‌های توصیفی و ریاضی برای تجزیه‌وتحلیل مدل به کار گرفته خواهد شد. در این پژوهش مدل راهبردی بازدارندگی در فضای سایبر در چهار مرحله شناخت وضع موجود، شناخت وضع مطلوب، تحلیل فاصله و برنامه اقدام بر اساس بازی علامت‌دهی با اطلاعات ناقص ارائه خواهد شد. در نهایت بعد از تشریح هر یک از اجزاء مدل و ارتباط آنها با یکدیگر، نشان داده شده است که مقدار تعادل بازی میتواند نشاندهنده وضعیت بازیگران در سه وضعیت منازعه، توازن و ضعف متقابل باشند و تنها در دو وضعیت توازن و ضعف متقابل بازدارندگی وجود خواهد داشت. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| بازدارندگی؛ فضای سایبر؛ بازی علامت‌دهی؛ گراف‌های حمله؛ تابع بهره مخاطره آفرینی | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Deterrence Model in Cyberspace Based on Bayesian Belief Attack Graph by using Risk Creating Payoff Function | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| A. Malaei1؛ M. Kargari2؛ M. Sheikhmohammadi2؛ A. Akramizade3 | ||
| 1melli defence university | ||
| 2modarres tarbiat university | ||
| 3tehran university | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Today, the rapid growth of dependence of human life on the cyberspace has raised the attention of the enemies of every society to the threats in this space. Several cyberattacks that have taken place in countries such as Estonia, Georgia and the Islamic Republic of Iran in the past, warn that the future of cyberspace will not be free of threats and attacks. Deterrence has always been a very important issue for all countries. In this practical and developmental research, we present Strategical Deterrence model in cyberspace. The game theory will help us model and analyze the deterrent model and descriptive and mathematical inferences will be used to analyze the model. Finally, in this paper, a strategical model for deterrence in cyberspace will be presented in four stages: the current, optimal, gap analysis and warning stages based on the signaling game with incomplete information. Finally after describing each components of the model and their relationship with each other, it has been shown that the amount of equilibrium can indicate the status of the players in the three situation of conflict, balance and mutual weakness, and only in two situation of balance and mutual weakness, the deterrence will exist. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| Deterrence, Cyberspace, Signaling Game, Attack Graph, Risk Creating Payoff Function | ||
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سایر فایل های مرتبط با مقاله
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| مراجع | ||
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