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افول آمریکا و ظهور چین: ارزیابی بر اساس شاخص‌های سنتی و فناورانه قدرت | ||
| مطالعات راهبردی آمریکا | ||
| مقاله 3، دوره 4، شماره 4 - شماره پیاپی 16، اسفند 1403، صفحه 69-105 اصل مقاله (1.1 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.47176/asr.2025.1270 | ||
| نویسنده | ||
| علی باقری دولت آبادی* | ||
| استاد روابط بین الملل گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه یاسوج، یاسوج، ایران | ||
| تاریخ دریافت: 0-1254 فروردین 786، تاریخ بازنگری: 0-1201 فروردین 786، تاریخ پذیرش: 0-1196 فروردین 786 | ||
| چکیده | ||
| یکی از مباحث جدی در میان تحلیلگران و صاحبنظران سیاسی در آمریکا و سایر نقاط جهان بحث افول آمریکا و زمان تحقق آن است. پیش‌بینی کارشناسان سیاسی شکل‌گیری نظام چندقطبی با برتری اقتصادی چین نسبت به رقبا است. هدف مقاله پیش‌رو ارزیابی افول آمریکا و موقعیت جهانی چین است. پرسش اصلی این است که چه ارزیابی می‌توان از افول آمریکا و جایگاه کنونی چین داشت؟ برای پاسخ به سؤال فوق مبتنی بر رویکرد توصیفی- تحلیلی از روش مطالعه اسنادی استفاده شده و شیوه گردآوری داده‌ها نیز به صورت کتابخانه‌ای بوده است. همچنین برای ارزیابی موقعیت کنونی آمریکا و چین شاخص‌های سنتی و فناورانه قدرت مورد استفاده قرار گرفت. یافته‌های پژوهش نشان می‌دهد اگرچه به لحاظ اقتصادی، سیاسی و اخلاقی آمریکا موقعیت پیشین خود را از دست داده است؛ با این حال در شاخص‌های فناورانه قدرت موقعیت بهتری نسبت به چین دارد. با این وجود، این امر به معنای تداوم قدرت آمریکا نیست و توانایی بهره‌برداری مؤثر از فناوری‌های جدید می‌تواند کشورهای ضعیف‌تر یا بازیگران غیردولتی را قادر سازد تا قدرت مستقر را به چالش بکشند که در نهایت منجر به یک نظم جهانی چندقطبی شود. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| افول آمریکا؛ ظهور چین؛ فناوری؛ قدرت نرم؛ اقتصاد؛ هوش مصنوعی | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| U.S. decline, China's rise, technology, soft power, economy, artificial intelligence | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| َAli Bagheri Dolatabadi | ||
| Professor in International Relation. Department of Political Science,, Yasouj University, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| One of the key debates among political analysts and experts in the U.S. and around the world concerns the decline of American power and the timing of its realization. Political experts predict the emergence of a multipolar system, with China surpassing its competitors in economic dominance. This article aims to assess the decline of the U.S. and China's global position. The main question is: How can the decline of the U.S. and China's current status be evaluated? To answer this question, the study employs a descriptive-analytical approach, utilizing document-based research with data collected through library sources. Traditional and technological power indicators have been used to assess the current status of the U.S. and China. The findings indicate that while the U.S. has lost its previous standing in economic, political, and moral aspects, it still maintains an advantage over China in technological power indicators. However, this does not guarantee the continuation of U.S. dominance, as the effective utilization of emerging technologies can empower weaker states or non-state actors to challenge the established power, ultimately leading to a multipolar global order. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| The decline of America, china's Rise, Technology, Artificial Intelligence | ||
| مراجع | ||
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آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 203 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 104 |
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