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Ghanbari, M., Hajiani, E. (2023). Observation and monitoring of the national environment to increase the fertility rate. Electronic and Cyber Defense, 1(1), 130-160.
Milad Ghanbari; Ebrahim Hajiani. "Observation and monitoring of the national environment to increase the fertility rate". Electronic and Cyber Defense, 1, 1, 2023, 130-160.
Ghanbari, M., Hajiani, E. (2023). 'Observation and monitoring of the national environment to increase the fertility rate', Electronic and Cyber Defense, 1(1), pp. 130-160.
Ghanbari, M., Hajiani, E. Observation and monitoring of the national environment to increase the fertility rate. Electronic and Cyber Defense, 2023; 1(1): 130-160.

Observation and monitoring of the national environment to increase the fertility rate

فصلنامه جمعیت و پیشرفت
Article 4, Volume 1, Issue 1, September 2023, Pages 130-160    PDF (448.3 K)
Document Type: Original Research Paper
Authors
Milad Ghanbari* 1; Ebrahim Hajiani2
1Ph.D. student in future studies, Faculty and Research Institute of Hazrat ValiAsr(A.S), Imam Hossein(A.S) Comprehensive University, Tehran, Iran.
2Associate Professor of Sociology, Ministry of Science, Research and Technology. Tehran Iran.
Receive Date: 03 August 2023,  Revise Date: 28 October 2023,  Accept Date: 23 November 2023 
Abstract
.....The findings of the research showed that the variables of "relationships between spouses and unemployment rate" in this national environment are strategic variables and act very effectively. They can be manipulated and controlled and affect the dynamics and change of the system. The unemployment rate variable is called a risk variable because it has the capacity to become a key actor, i.e. it is affected by changes quickly and it also transmits these changes to other variables very quickly. The relationship variable between spouses is also called the target variable and displays the results of the system. In other words, by manipulating this variable, the system will undergo evolutionary changes. Also, the variable "high literacy level" was recognized as the most critical driver, which is more influential and less influential. In this environment, the drivers of "government economic incentives, expansion of social security coverage and social benefits and expenses" have very low impact and effectiveness and cannot be considered as strategic variables. Of course, "government economic incentives" are more effective than effective and can be used as a benchmark or measurement point. Finally, the variables "marital relations, life satisfaction and problems and concerns related to children and their future" do not have strategic properties due to their strong dependence on other variables and are more results than other variables.
Keywords
Observation and monitoring; environment; fertility rate; Delphi method; Micmac software
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